feat(tracker): add alpha calibration and dynamic pricing

Add TOPLOC honest-noise calibration storage/dispatch and validator divergence reporting for AH-021.

Add opt-in HuggingFace marketplace pricing refresh, price-change history, CLI flags, and AH-023 tracking docs.

Verification: .venv/bin/python -m pytest tests/ -q -k 'not integration' => 346 passed, 2 skipped, 1 deselected; compileall packages tests passed; focused AH-021/AH-023 tests 32 passed.

.claude/memory/alpha-hardening-navigation.md

@@ -16,9 +16,17 @@ Active workstream (started 2026-07-04): alpha hardening of the money/trust path.
 
 **Auth foundation now available (commit 81719ed):** `packages/tracker/meshnet_tracker/auth.py` = hive HMAC (`sign_hive_request`/`verify_hive_request`, X-Meshnet-Hive-Signature/Timestamp, 300s skew) + `is_validator_token`. In the handler: `_require_role("admin"|"validator")`, `_resolve_identity()` (validator token / admin session / client-key→no-role), `_read_hive_authenticated_body()`. `TrackerServer(validator_service_token=, hive_secret=)` also read from MESHNET_VALIDATOR_SERVICE_TOKEN / MESHNET_HIVE_SECRET; CLI `--validator-service-token` / `--hive-secret`. Outgoing gossip signed via `_push_to_peers`. Tests use these fixtures — reuse the pattern in 05/03/04.
 
-**Remaining work classification:** 12–15 are multi-tracker money/Raft ordering hardening deferred beyond single-settlement alpha; 17 needs human approval for canonical duplicate US-020 renumbering; 21 is the honest-noise calibration corpus and gates production audit thresholds, not an alpha code release. For current verification, full pytest is blocked only by local port 7000 already occupied by `meshnet-node`; excluding that environmental test passes 316 and skips 3.
+**Remaining work classification:** 12–15 are multi-tracker money/Raft ordering hardening deferred beyond single-settlement alpha; 17 needs human approval for canonical duplicate US-020 renumbering. Full pytest suite re-verified 2026-07-06: 317 passed, 3 skipped, clean.
 
-**Ralph note:** `scripts/ralph_progress.py` tracks `docs/prd.json` (35/35 done) and does NOT see `.scratch/alpha-hardening/issues/`. No ralph loop is running and no `.ralph-tui/` state exists. To use the ralph dashboard for the alpha phase, migrate the ready-for-agent alpha issues into prd.json first; otherwise track via the `Status:` header in each issue file. Do NOT use `ralph auto --parallel` on server.py-touching issues.
+**Launch-readiness grilling (2026-07-06):** Locked launch plan — devnet dev/test run now, then **real mainnet SOL/USDT** (not devnet, not a new public token) for the first cohort: friends (API clients) + hired VPS/VPC hosts (our own test infra, not third-party volunteers — stake-free, risk-free if something breaks, not a long-term topology). Pricing: clients are the only party spending real money; nodes only accumulate off-chain credit and get paid in batches (30min dev / 24h later) — a failed distribution leaves funds parked, not lost, so mainnet-vs-devnet mixups are lower-risk than initially assumed. TAI token: do NOT issue/list now — ADR-0002 already locks listing behind $50k volume + 25 nodes/15 wallets plus an unresolved securities-review gate; only a dormant mainnet mint (cheap, ~few $ SOL) for name/branding reservation is in scope, bundled with treasury-key work, not before it. Treasury custody: bare keypair file (current runbook 02) is not acceptable for real funds — plan is **free native SPL multisig** (`spl-token create-multisig`, no protocol fee unlike Squads' 0.5 SOL), 2-of-3 signers, at least one cold/offline, others one-per-hired-VPS-provider to avoid correlated compromise (not yet built — ops task, no issue filed). Stake/slash asymmetry (registry/slash is a local Python adapter per ADR-0007, not on-chain) accepted for now since hired hosts are our own infra and friends aren't node operators — revisit before opening to real third-party node operators. A mainnet-vs-devnet boot guardrail was proposed and explicitly declined by the owner given the safe-by-default money flow above.
+
+**Two new issues from this session, both `ready-for-agent`:**
+- **21 — Honest-noise calibration corpus** (`.scratch/alpha-hardening/issues/21-honest-noise-calibration-corpus.md`) rescoped from "prod gate" to a **hard alpha-release blocker**. Confirmed by code read: `verify_activation_proofs()` (`packages/validator/meshnet_validator/audit.py:94-127`) returns bool only, no raw divergence value; fleet-dispatch exists but wrong shape (`server.py:2998-3104`, pinned routes + latency, not full-fleet + TOPLOC divergence); storage wrong shape (`registry_events` has no divergence/hardware columns). Three-part build: (1) surface raw TOPLOC distance from audit.py, (2) extend dispatch to hit every registered node with fixed prompt/seed, (3) new SQLite table keyed by node+GPU+dtype. Small-fleet exception granted (N = actual hired-VPS fleet size). Hired VPS hosts stay stake-free until this closes.
+- **23 — Dynamic HF-benchmarked pricing** (`.scratch/alpha-hardening/issues/23-dynamic-hf-pricing.md`), high priority but not a release blocker. Pricing today is 100% static (`DEFAULT_PRICE_PER_1K_TOKENS = 0.02`, `billing.py:21`; `model_presets.json` has no per-model price). Target: 80% of cheapest comparable provider on `https://huggingface.co/inference/models` (per-provider-per-model marketplace, `?search=` query param works, no confirmed JSON API — plain scrape attempted first, escalate to headless browser only if the table isn't in raw HTML). Human-verified `hf_aliases` + `hf_verified_match_note` (params/quantization) per model, not auto-discovered matching. Reuses the `_settlement_loop` daemon-thread pattern for a daily refresh; falls back silently to the static default on any failure.
+
+Both are already migrated into `.scratch/alpha-hardening/prd.json` (AH-021 updated, AH-023 added) and the README index — ready for Ralph to pick up unattended.
+
+**Ralph note:** `scripts/ralph_progress.py` tracks `docs/prd.json` (35/35 done) and does NOT see `.scratch/alpha-hardening/issues/`. No ralph loop is running and no `.ralph-tui/` state exists. `.scratch/alpha-hardening/prd.json` now has 23 stories (AH-001…AH-023); point Ralph at that file for the alpha-hardening branch. Do NOT use `ralph auto --parallel` on server.py-touching issues — 21 and 23 both touch `server.py`/`billing.py`/`audit.py`; if run in the same Ralph pass, run them serially, not in parallel (merge-conflict risk, same lesson as 03/04 previously).
 
 **Why:** three audits agreed the alpha blockers are unauthenticated gossip (anyone can inject billing events), the free-credit faucet, and ephemeral bans.
 **How to apply:** work test-first per issue acceptance criteria; use `.venv`; `cryptography` belongs in node deps (wallet.py imports it — causes many of the 24 "failures" in a fresh env). See [[project-status]] and [[autonomous-work-style]].