ehanced training and reward - wip

This commit is contained in:
Dobromir Popov
2025-08-23 01:07:05 +03:00
parent 10199e4171
commit 9992b226ea
6 changed files with 2471 additions and 0 deletions

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"""
Enhanced Reward Calculator for Reinforcement Learning Training
This module implements a comprehensive reward calculation system based on mean squared error
between predictions and empirical outcomes. It tracks multiple timeframes separately and
maintains prediction history for accurate reward computation.
Key Features:
- MSE-based reward calculation for prediction accuracy
- Multi-timeframe prediction tracking (1s, 1m, 1h, 1d)
- Separate accuracy tracking for each timeframe
- Prediction history tracking (last 6 predictions per timeframe)
- Real-time training at each inference
- Timeframe-aware inference scheduling
"""
import time
import logging
from dataclasses import dataclass, field
from typing import Dict, List, Optional, Tuple, Any
from collections import deque
from datetime import datetime, timedelta
import numpy as np
import threading
from enum import Enum
logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
class TimeFrame(Enum):
"""Supported timeframes for prediction"""
SECONDS_1 = "1s"
MINUTES_1 = "1m"
HOURS_1 = "1h"
DAYS_1 = "1d"
@dataclass
class PredictionRecord:
"""Individual prediction record with outcome tracking"""
timestamp: datetime
symbol: str
timeframe: TimeFrame
predicted_price: float
predicted_direction: int # -1: down, 0: neutral, 1: up
confidence: float
current_price: float
model_name: str
# Outcome fields (set when outcome is determined)
actual_price: Optional[float] = None
actual_direction: Optional[int] = None
outcome_timestamp: Optional[datetime] = None
mse_reward: Optional[float] = None
direction_correct: Optional[bool] = None
is_evaluated: bool = False
@dataclass
class TimeframeAccuracy:
"""Accuracy tracking for a specific timeframe"""
timeframe: TimeFrame
total_predictions: int = 0
correct_directions: int = 0
total_mse: float = 0.0
prediction_history: deque = field(default_factory=lambda: deque(maxlen=6))
@property
def direction_accuracy(self) -> float:
"""Calculate directional accuracy percentage"""
if self.total_predictions == 0:
return 0.0
return (self.correct_directions / self.total_predictions) * 100.0
@property
def average_mse(self) -> float:
"""Calculate average MSE"""
if self.total_predictions == 0:
return 0.0
return self.total_mse / self.total_predictions
class EnhancedRewardCalculator:
"""
Enhanced reward calculator using MSE and multi-timeframe tracking
This calculator:
1. Tracks predictions for multiple timeframes separately
2. Calculates MSE-based rewards when outcomes are available
3. Maintains prediction history for last 6 predictions per timeframe
4. Provides separate accuracy metrics for each timeframe
5. Enables real-time training at each inference
"""
def __init__(self, symbols: List[str] = None):
"""Initialize the enhanced reward calculator"""
self.symbols = symbols or ['ETH/USDT', 'BTC/USDT']
self.timeframes = [TimeFrame.SECONDS_1, TimeFrame.MINUTES_1, TimeFrame.HOURS_1, TimeFrame.DAYS_1]
# Prediction storage: symbol -> timeframe -> deque of PredictionRecord
self.predictions: Dict[str, Dict[TimeFrame, deque]] = {}
# Accuracy tracking: symbol -> timeframe -> TimeframeAccuracy
self.accuracy_tracker: Dict[str, Dict[TimeFrame, TimeframeAccuracy]] = {}
# Evaluation timeouts for each timeframe (in seconds)
self.evaluation_timeouts = {
TimeFrame.SECONDS_1: 5, # Evaluate 1s predictions after 5 seconds
TimeFrame.MINUTES_1: 60, # Evaluate 1m predictions after 1 minute
TimeFrame.HOURS_1: 300, # Evaluate 1h predictions after 5 minutes
TimeFrame.DAYS_1: 900 # Evaluate 1d predictions after 15 minutes
}
# Price data cache for outcome evaluation
self.price_cache: Dict[str, List[Tuple[datetime, float]]] = {}
self.price_cache_max_size = 1000
# Thread safety
self.lock = threading.RLock()
# Initialize data structures
self._initialize_data_structures()
logger.info(f"EnhancedRewardCalculator initialized for symbols: {self.symbols}")
logger.info(f"Timeframes: {[tf.value for tf in self.timeframes]}")
logger.info(f"Evaluation timeouts: {[(tf.value, timeout) for tf, timeout in self.evaluation_timeouts.items()]}")
def _initialize_data_structures(self):
"""Initialize nested data structures"""
for symbol in self.symbols:
self.predictions[symbol] = {}
self.accuracy_tracker[symbol] = {}
self.price_cache[symbol] = []
for timeframe in self.timeframes:
self.predictions[symbol][timeframe] = deque(maxlen=100) # Keep last 100 predictions
self.accuracy_tracker[symbol][timeframe] = TimeframeAccuracy(timeframe)
def add_prediction(self,
symbol: str,
timeframe: TimeFrame,
predicted_price: float,
predicted_direction: int,
confidence: float,
current_price: float,
model_name: str) -> str:
"""
Add a new prediction to track
Args:
symbol: Trading symbol (e.g., 'ETH/USDT')
timeframe: Timeframe for this prediction
predicted_price: Model's predicted price
predicted_direction: Predicted direction (-1, 0, 1)
confidence: Model's confidence (0.0 to 1.0)
current_price: Current market price
model_name: Name of the model making prediction
Returns:
Unique prediction ID for later reference
"""
with self.lock:
prediction = PredictionRecord(
timestamp=datetime.now(),
symbol=symbol,
timeframe=timeframe,
predicted_price=predicted_price,
predicted_direction=predicted_direction,
confidence=confidence,
current_price=current_price,
model_name=model_name
)
# Store prediction
if symbol not in self.predictions:
self._initialize_data_structures()
self.predictions[symbol][timeframe].append(prediction)
# Add to accuracy tracker history
self.accuracy_tracker[symbol][timeframe].prediction_history.append(prediction)
prediction_id = f"{symbol}_{timeframe.value}_{prediction.timestamp.isoformat()}_{model_name}"
logger.debug(f"Added prediction: {prediction_id}, predicted_price={predicted_price:.4f}, "
f"direction={predicted_direction}, confidence={confidence:.3f}")
return prediction_id
def update_price(self, symbol: str, price: float, timestamp: datetime = None):
"""
Update current price for a symbol
Args:
symbol: Trading symbol
price: Current price
timestamp: Price timestamp (defaults to now)
"""
if timestamp is None:
timestamp = datetime.now()
with self.lock:
if symbol not in self.price_cache:
self.price_cache[symbol] = []
self.price_cache[symbol].append((timestamp, price))
# Maintain cache size
if len(self.price_cache[symbol]) > self.price_cache_max_size:
self.price_cache[symbol] = self.price_cache[symbol][-self.price_cache_max_size:]
def evaluate_predictions(self, symbol: str = None) -> Dict[str, List[Tuple[PredictionRecord, float]]]:
"""
Evaluate pending predictions and calculate rewards
Args:
symbol: Specific symbol to evaluate (None for all symbols)
Returns:
Dictionary mapping symbol to list of (prediction, reward) tuples
"""
results = {}
symbols_to_evaluate = [symbol] if symbol else self.symbols
with self.lock:
for sym in symbols_to_evaluate:
if sym not in self.predictions:
continue
results[sym] = []
current_time = datetime.now()
for timeframe in self.timeframes:
predictions_to_evaluate = []
# Find predictions ready for evaluation
for prediction in self.predictions[sym][timeframe]:
if prediction.is_evaluated:
continue
time_elapsed = (current_time - prediction.timestamp).total_seconds()
timeout = self.evaluation_timeouts[timeframe]
if time_elapsed >= timeout:
predictions_to_evaluate.append(prediction)
# Evaluate predictions
for prediction in predictions_to_evaluate:
reward = self._calculate_prediction_reward(prediction)
if reward is not None:
results[sym].append((prediction, reward))
# Update accuracy tracking
self._update_accuracy_tracking(sym, timeframe, prediction)
return results
def _calculate_prediction_reward(self, prediction: PredictionRecord) -> Optional[float]:
"""
Calculate MSE-based reward for a prediction
Args:
prediction: Prediction record to evaluate
Returns:
Calculated reward or None if outcome cannot be determined
"""
# Get actual price at evaluation time
actual_price = self._get_price_at_time(
prediction.symbol,
prediction.timestamp + timedelta(seconds=self.evaluation_timeouts[prediction.timeframe])
)
if actual_price is None:
logger.debug(f"Cannot evaluate prediction - no price data available for {prediction.symbol}")
return None
# Calculate price change and direction
price_change = actual_price - prediction.current_price
actual_direction = 1 if price_change > 0 else (-1 if price_change < 0 else 0)
# Calculate MSE reward
price_error = actual_price - prediction.predicted_price
mse = price_error ** 2
# Normalize MSE to a reasonable reward scale (lower MSE = higher reward)
# Use exponential decay to heavily penalize large errors
max_mse = (prediction.current_price * 0.1) ** 2 # 10% price change as max expected error
normalized_mse = min(mse / max_mse, 1.0)
mse_reward = np.exp(-5 * normalized_mse) # Exponential decay, range [exp(-5), 1]
# Direction accuracy bonus/penalty
direction_correct = (prediction.predicted_direction == actual_direction)
direction_bonus = 0.5 if direction_correct else -0.5
# Confidence scaling
confidence_weight = prediction.confidence
# Final reward calculation
base_reward = mse_reward + direction_bonus
final_reward = base_reward * confidence_weight
# Update prediction record
prediction.actual_price = actual_price
prediction.actual_direction = actual_direction
prediction.outcome_timestamp = datetime.now()
prediction.mse_reward = final_reward
prediction.direction_correct = direction_correct
prediction.is_evaluated = True
logger.debug(f"Evaluated prediction: {prediction.symbol} {prediction.timeframe.value}, "
f"MSE={mse:.6f}, direction_correct={direction_correct}, "
f"confidence={confidence_weight:.3f}, reward={final_reward:.4f}")
return final_reward
def _get_price_at_time(self, symbol: str, target_time: datetime) -> Optional[float]:
"""
Get price for symbol at a specific time
Args:
symbol: Trading symbol
target_time: Target timestamp
Returns:
Price at target time or None if not available
"""
if symbol not in self.price_cache or not self.price_cache[symbol]:
return None
# Find closest price to target time
closest_price = None
min_time_diff = float('inf')
for timestamp, price in self.price_cache[symbol]:
time_diff = abs((timestamp - target_time).total_seconds())
if time_diff < min_time_diff:
min_time_diff = time_diff
closest_price = price
# Only return price if it's within reasonable time window (30 seconds)
if min_time_diff <= 30:
return closest_price
return None
def _update_accuracy_tracking(self, symbol: str, timeframe: TimeFrame, prediction: PredictionRecord):
"""Update accuracy tracking for a timeframe"""
tracker = self.accuracy_tracker[symbol][timeframe]
tracker.total_predictions += 1
if prediction.direction_correct:
tracker.correct_directions += 1
if prediction.mse_reward is not None:
# Convert reward back to MSE for tracking
# Since reward = exp(-5 * normalized_mse), we can reverse it
normalized_mse = -np.log(max(prediction.mse_reward, 0.001)) / 5
max_mse = (prediction.current_price * 0.1) ** 2
mse = normalized_mse * max_mse
tracker.total_mse += mse
def get_accuracy_summary(self, symbol: str = None) -> Dict[str, Dict[str, Dict[str, float]]]:
"""
Get accuracy summary for all or specific symbol
Args:
symbol: Specific symbol (None for all)
Returns:
Nested dictionary with accuracy metrics
"""
summary = {}
symbols_to_summarize = [symbol] if symbol else self.symbols
with self.lock:
for sym in symbols_to_summarize:
if sym not in self.accuracy_tracker:
continue
summary[sym] = {}
for timeframe in self.timeframes:
tracker = self.accuracy_tracker[sym][timeframe]
summary[sym][timeframe.value] = {
'total_predictions': tracker.total_predictions,
'direction_accuracy': tracker.direction_accuracy,
'average_mse': tracker.average_mse,
'recent_predictions': len(tracker.prediction_history)
}
return summary
def get_training_data(self, symbol: str, timeframe: TimeFrame,
max_samples: int = 50) -> List[Tuple[PredictionRecord, float]]:
"""
Get recent evaluated predictions for training
Args:
symbol: Trading symbol
timeframe: Specific timeframe
max_samples: Maximum number of samples to return
Returns:
List of (prediction, reward) tuples ready for training
"""
training_data = []
with self.lock:
if symbol not in self.predictions or timeframe not in self.predictions[symbol]:
return training_data
evaluated_predictions = [
p for p in self.predictions[symbol][timeframe]
if p.is_evaluated and p.mse_reward is not None
]
# Get most recent evaluated predictions
recent_predictions = list(evaluated_predictions)[-max_samples:]
for prediction in recent_predictions:
training_data.append((prediction, prediction.mse_reward))
return training_data
def cleanup_old_predictions(self, days_to_keep: int = 7):
"""
Clean up old predictions to manage memory
Args:
days_to_keep: Number of days of predictions to keep
"""
cutoff_time = datetime.now() - timedelta(days=days_to_keep)
with self.lock:
for symbol in self.predictions:
for timeframe in self.timeframes:
# Filter out old predictions
old_count = len(self.predictions[symbol][timeframe])
self.predictions[symbol][timeframe] = deque(
[p for p in self.predictions[symbol][timeframe]
if p.timestamp > cutoff_time],
maxlen=100
)
new_count = len(self.predictions[symbol][timeframe])
removed_count = old_count - new_count
if removed_count > 0:
logger.info(f"Cleaned up {removed_count} old predictions for "
f"{symbol} {timeframe.value}")
def force_evaluate_timeframe_predictions(self, symbol: str, timeframe: TimeFrame) -> List[Tuple[PredictionRecord, float]]:
"""
Force evaluation of all pending predictions for a specific timeframe
Useful for immediate training needs
Args:
symbol: Trading symbol
timeframe: Specific timeframe to evaluate
Returns:
List of (prediction, reward) tuples
"""
results = []
with self.lock:
if symbol not in self.predictions or timeframe not in self.predictions[symbol]:
return results
# Evaluate all non-evaluated predictions
for prediction in self.predictions[symbol][timeframe]:
if not prediction.is_evaluated:
reward = self._calculate_prediction_reward(prediction)
if reward is not None:
results.append((prediction, reward))
self._update_accuracy_tracking(symbol, timeframe, prediction)
return results

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"""
Enhanced Reward System Integration
This module provides a simple integration point for the new MSE-based reward system
with the existing trading orchestrator and training infrastructure.
Key Features:
- Easy integration with existing TradingOrchestrator
- Minimal changes required to existing code
- Backward compatibility maintained
- Enhanced performance monitoring
- Real-time training with MSE rewards
"""
import asyncio
import logging
from typing import Optional, Dict, Any
from datetime import datetime
from core.enhanced_reward_calculator import EnhancedRewardCalculator, TimeFrame
from core.timeframe_inference_coordinator import TimeframeInferenceCoordinator
from core.enhanced_rl_training_adapter import EnhancedRLTrainingAdapter
logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
class EnhancedRewardSystemIntegration:
"""
Complete integration of the enhanced reward system
This class provides a single integration point that can be easily added
to the existing TradingOrchestrator to enable MSE-based rewards and
multi-timeframe training.
"""
def __init__(self, orchestrator: Any, symbols: list = None):
"""
Initialize the enhanced reward system integration
Args:
orchestrator: TradingOrchestrator instance
symbols: List of symbols to track (defaults to ETH/USDT, BTC/USDT)
"""
self.orchestrator = orchestrator
self.symbols = symbols or ['ETH/USDT', 'BTC/USDT']
# Initialize core components
self.reward_calculator = EnhancedRewardCalculator(symbols=self.symbols)
self.inference_coordinator = TimeframeInferenceCoordinator(
reward_calculator=self.reward_calculator,
data_provider=getattr(orchestrator, 'data_provider', None),
symbols=self.symbols
)
self.training_adapter = EnhancedRLTrainingAdapter(
reward_calculator=self.reward_calculator,
inference_coordinator=self.inference_coordinator,
orchestrator=orchestrator,
training_system=getattr(orchestrator, 'enhanced_training_system', None)
)
# Integration state
self.is_running = False
self.integration_stats = {
'start_time': None,
'total_predictions_tracked': 0,
'total_rewards_calculated': 0,
'total_training_batches': 0
}
logger.info(f"EnhancedRewardSystemIntegration initialized for symbols: {self.symbols}")
async def start_integration(self):
"""Start the enhanced reward system integration"""
if self.is_running:
logger.warning("Enhanced reward system already running")
return
try:
logger.info("Starting Enhanced Reward System Integration")
# Start core components
await self.inference_coordinator.start_coordination()
await self.training_adapter.start_training_loop()
# Start price monitoring
asyncio.create_task(self._price_monitoring_loop())
self.is_running = True
self.integration_stats['start_time'] = datetime.now().isoformat()
logger.info("Enhanced Reward System Integration started successfully")
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Error starting enhanced reward system integration: {e}")
await self.stop_integration()
async def stop_integration(self):
"""Stop the enhanced reward system integration"""
if not self.is_running:
return
try:
logger.info("Stopping Enhanced Reward System Integration")
# Stop components
await self.inference_coordinator.stop_coordination()
await self.training_adapter.stop_training_loop()
self.is_running = False
logger.info("Enhanced Reward System Integration stopped")
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Error stopping enhanced reward system integration: {e}")
async def _price_monitoring_loop(self):
"""Monitor prices and update the reward calculator"""
while self.is_running:
try:
# Update current prices for all symbols
for symbol in self.symbols:
current_price = await self._get_current_price(symbol)
if current_price > 0:
self.reward_calculator.update_price(symbol, current_price)
# Sleep for 1 second between updates
await asyncio.sleep(1.0)
except Exception as e:
logger.debug(f"Error in price monitoring loop: {e}")
await asyncio.sleep(5.0) # Wait longer on error
async def _get_current_price(self, symbol: str) -> float:
"""Get current price for a symbol"""
try:
if hasattr(self.orchestrator, 'data_provider'):
current_prices = self.orchestrator.data_provider.current_prices
return current_prices.get(symbol, 0.0)
except Exception as e:
logger.debug(f"Error getting current price for {symbol}: {e}")
return 0.0
def add_prediction_manually(self, symbol: str, timeframe_str: str,
predicted_price: float, predicted_direction: int,
confidence: float, current_price: float,
model_name: str) -> str:
"""
Manually add a prediction to the reward calculator
This method allows existing code to easily integrate with the new reward system
without major changes.
Args:
symbol: Trading symbol (e.g., 'ETH/USDT')
timeframe_str: Timeframe string ('1s', '1m', '1h', '1d')
predicted_price: Model's predicted price
predicted_direction: Predicted direction (-1, 0, 1)
confidence: Model's confidence (0.0 to 1.0)
current_price: Current market price
model_name: Name of the model making prediction
Returns:
Unique prediction ID
"""
try:
# Convert timeframe string to enum
timeframe = TimeFrame(timeframe_str)
prediction_id = self.reward_calculator.add_prediction(
symbol=symbol,
timeframe=timeframe,
predicted_price=predicted_price,
predicted_direction=predicted_direction,
confidence=confidence,
current_price=current_price,
model_name=model_name
)
self.integration_stats['total_predictions_tracked'] += 1
return prediction_id
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Error adding prediction manually: {e}")
return ""
def get_model_accuracy(self, model_name: str = None, symbol: str = None) -> Dict[str, Any]:
"""
Get accuracy statistics for models
Args:
model_name: Specific model name (None for all)
symbol: Specific symbol (None for all)
Returns:
Dictionary with accuracy statistics
"""
try:
accuracy_summary = self.reward_calculator.get_accuracy_summary(symbol)
if model_name:
# Filter by model name in prediction history
# This would require enhancing the reward calculator to track by model
pass
return accuracy_summary
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Error getting model accuracy: {e}")
return {}
def force_evaluation_and_training(self, symbol: str = None, timeframe_str: str = None):
"""
Force immediate evaluation and training for debugging/testing
Args:
symbol: Specific symbol (None for all)
timeframe_str: Specific timeframe (None for all)
"""
try:
if timeframe_str:
timeframe = TimeFrame(timeframe_str)
symbols_to_process = [symbol] if symbol else self.symbols
for sym in symbols_to_process:
# Force evaluation of predictions
results = self.reward_calculator.force_evaluate_timeframe_predictions(sym, timeframe)
logger.info(f"Force evaluated {len(results)} predictions for {sym} {timeframe.value}")
else:
# Evaluate all pending predictions
for sym in (self.symbols if not symbol else [symbol]):
results = self.reward_calculator.evaluate_predictions(sym)
if sym in results:
logger.info(f"Force evaluated {len(results[sym])} predictions for {sym}")
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Error in force evaluation and training: {e}")
def get_integration_statistics(self) -> Dict[str, Any]:
"""Get comprehensive integration statistics"""
try:
stats = self.integration_stats.copy()
# Add component statistics
stats['inference_coordinator'] = self.inference_coordinator.get_inference_statistics()
stats['training_adapter'] = self.training_adapter.get_training_statistics()
stats['reward_calculator'] = self.reward_calculator.get_accuracy_summary()
# Add system status
stats['is_running'] = self.is_running
stats['components_running'] = {
'inference_coordinator': self.inference_coordinator.running,
'training_adapter': self.training_adapter.running
}
return stats
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Error getting integration statistics: {e}")
return {'error': str(e)}
def cleanup_old_data(self, days_to_keep: int = 7):
"""Clean up old prediction data to manage memory"""
try:
self.reward_calculator.cleanup_old_predictions(days_to_keep)
logger.info(f"Cleaned up prediction data older than {days_to_keep} days")
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Error cleaning up old data: {e}")
# Utility functions for easy integration
def integrate_enhanced_rewards(orchestrator: Any, symbols: list = None) -> EnhancedRewardSystemIntegration:
"""
Utility function to easily integrate enhanced rewards with an existing orchestrator
Args:
orchestrator: TradingOrchestrator instance
symbols: List of symbols to track
Returns:
EnhancedRewardSystemIntegration instance
"""
integration = EnhancedRewardSystemIntegration(orchestrator, symbols)
# Add integration as an attribute to the orchestrator for easy access
setattr(orchestrator, 'enhanced_reward_system', integration)
logger.info("Enhanced reward system integrated with orchestrator")
return integration
async def start_enhanced_rewards_for_orchestrator(orchestrator: Any, symbols: list = None):
"""
Start enhanced rewards for an existing orchestrator
Args:
orchestrator: TradingOrchestrator instance
symbols: List of symbols to track
"""
if not hasattr(orchestrator, 'enhanced_reward_system'):
integrate_enhanced_rewards(orchestrator, symbols)
await orchestrator.enhanced_reward_system.start_integration()
def add_prediction_to_enhanced_rewards(orchestrator: Any, symbol: str, timeframe: str,
predicted_price: float, direction: int, confidence: float,
current_price: float, model_name: str) -> str:
"""
Helper function to add predictions to enhanced rewards from existing code
Args:
orchestrator: TradingOrchestrator instance with enhanced_reward_system
symbol: Trading symbol
timeframe: Timeframe string
predicted_price: Predicted price
direction: Predicted direction (-1, 0, 1)
confidence: Model confidence
current_price: Current market price
model_name: Model name
Returns:
Prediction ID
"""
if hasattr(orchestrator, 'enhanced_reward_system'):
return orchestrator.enhanced_reward_system.add_prediction_manually(
symbol, timeframe, predicted_price, direction, confidence, current_price, model_name
)
logger.warning("Enhanced reward system not integrated with orchestrator")
return ""

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"""
Enhanced RL Training Adapter
This module integrates the new MSE-based reward system with existing RL training pipelines.
It provides a bridge between the timeframe-aware inference coordinator and the existing
model training infrastructure.
Key Features:
- Integration with EnhancedRewardCalculator
- Adaptation of existing RL models to new reward system
- Real-time training triggers based on prediction outcomes
- Multi-timeframe training coordination
- Backward compatibility with existing training infrastructure
"""
import asyncio
import logging
import time
from datetime import datetime, timedelta
from typing import Dict, List, Optional, Any, Union
from dataclasses import dataclass
import numpy as np
import threading
from core.enhanced_reward_calculator import EnhancedRewardCalculator, TimeFrame, PredictionRecord
from core.timeframe_inference_coordinator import TimeframeInferenceCoordinator, InferenceContext
logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
@dataclass
class TrainingBatch:
"""Training batch for RL models with enhanced reward data"""
model_name: str
symbol: str
timeframe: TimeFrame
states: List[np.ndarray]
actions: List[int]
rewards: List[float]
next_states: List[np.ndarray]
dones: List[bool]
confidences: List[float]
prediction_records: List[PredictionRecord]
batch_timestamp: datetime
class EnhancedRLTrainingAdapter:
"""
Adapter that integrates new reward system with existing RL training infrastructure
This adapter:
1. Bridges new reward calculator with existing RL models
2. Converts prediction records to RL training format
3. Triggers real-time training based on reward evaluation
4. Maintains compatibility with existing training systems
5. Coordinates multi-timeframe training
"""
def __init__(self,
reward_calculator: EnhancedRewardCalculator,
inference_coordinator: TimeframeInferenceCoordinator,
orchestrator: Any = None,
training_system: Any = None):
"""
Initialize the enhanced RL training adapter
Args:
reward_calculator: Enhanced reward calculator instance
inference_coordinator: Timeframe inference coordinator
orchestrator: Trading orchestrator (optional)
training_system: Enhanced realtime training system (optional)
"""
self.reward_calculator = reward_calculator
self.inference_coordinator = inference_coordinator
self.orchestrator = orchestrator
self.training_system = training_system
# Model registry for training functions
self.model_trainers: Dict[str, Any] = {}
# Training configuration
self.min_batch_size = 8 # Minimum samples for training
self.max_batch_size = 64 # Maximum samples per training batch
self.training_interval_seconds = 5.0 # How often to check for training opportunities
# Training statistics
self.training_stats = {
'total_training_batches': 0,
'successful_training_calls': 0,
'failed_training_calls': 0,
'last_training_time': None,
'training_times_per_model': {},
'average_batch_sizes': {}
}
# State conversion helpers
self.state_builders: Dict[str, Any] = {}
# Thread safety
self.lock = threading.RLock()
# Running state
self.running = False
self.training_task: Optional[asyncio.Task] = None
logger.info("EnhancedRLTrainingAdapter initialized")
self._register_default_model_handlers()
def _register_default_model_handlers(self):
"""Register default model handlers for existing models"""
# Register inference functions with the coordinator
if self.inference_coordinator:
self.inference_coordinator.register_model_inference_function(
'dqn_agent', self._dqn_inference_wrapper
)
self.inference_coordinator.register_model_inference_function(
'cob_rl', self._cob_rl_inference_wrapper
)
self.inference_coordinator.register_model_inference_function(
'enhanced_cnn', self._cnn_inference_wrapper
)
async def _dqn_inference_wrapper(self, context: InferenceContext) -> Optional[Dict[str, Any]]:
"""Wrapper for DQN model inference"""
try:
if self.orchestrator and hasattr(self.orchestrator, 'rl_agent'):
# Get base data for the symbol
base_data = await self._get_base_data(context.symbol)
if base_data is None:
return None
# Convert to DQN state format
state = self._convert_to_dqn_state(base_data, context)
# Run DQN prediction
if hasattr(self.orchestrator.rl_agent, 'act'):
action_idx = self.orchestrator.rl_agent.act(state)
confidence = 0.7 # Default confidence for DQN
# Convert action to prediction format
action_names = ['SELL', 'HOLD', 'BUY']
direction = action_idx - 1 # Convert 0,1,2 to -1,0,1
current_price = base_data.get('current_price', 0.0)
predicted_price = current_price * (1 + (direction * 0.001)) # Small price prediction
return {
'predicted_price': predicted_price,
'current_price': current_price,
'direction': direction,
'confidence': confidence,
'action': action_names[action_idx],
'model_state': state,
'context': context
}
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Error in DQN inference wrapper: {e}")
return None
async def _cob_rl_inference_wrapper(self, context: InferenceContext) -> Optional[Dict[str, Any]]:
"""Wrapper for COB RL model inference"""
try:
if (self.orchestrator and
hasattr(self.orchestrator, 'realtime_rl_trader') and
self.orchestrator.realtime_rl_trader):
# Get COB features
features = await self._get_cob_features(context.symbol)
if features is None:
return None
# Run COB RL prediction
prediction = self.orchestrator.realtime_rl_trader._predict(context.symbol, features)
if prediction:
current_price = await self._get_current_price(context.symbol)
predicted_price = current_price * (1 + prediction.get('change', 0))
return {
'predicted_price': predicted_price,
'current_price': current_price,
'direction': prediction.get('direction', 0),
'confidence': prediction.get('confidence', 0.0),
'change': prediction.get('change', 0.0),
'model_features': features,
'context': context
}
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Error in COB RL inference wrapper: {e}")
return None
async def _cnn_inference_wrapper(self, context: InferenceContext) -> Optional[Dict[str, Any]]:
"""Wrapper for CNN model inference"""
try:
if self.orchestrator and hasattr(self.orchestrator, 'model_registry'):
# Find CNN models in registry
for model_name, model in self.orchestrator.model_registry.models.items():
if 'cnn' in model_name.lower():
# Get base data
base_data = await self._get_base_data(context.symbol)
if base_data is None:
continue
# Run CNN prediction
if hasattr(model, 'predict_from_base_input'):
model_output = model.predict_from_base_input(base_data)
current_price = base_data.get('current_price', 0.0)
# Extract prediction data
predictions = model_output.predictions
action = predictions.get('action', 'HOLD')
confidence = predictions.get('confidence', 0.0)
# Convert action to direction
direction = {'BUY': 1, 'SELL': -1, 'HOLD': 0}.get(action, 0)
predicted_price = current_price * (1 + (direction * 0.002))
return {
'predicted_price': predicted_price,
'current_price': current_price,
'direction': direction,
'confidence': confidence,
'action': action,
'model_output': model_output,
'context': context
}
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Error in CNN inference wrapper: {e}")
return None
async def _get_base_data(self, symbol: str) -> Optional[Any]:
"""Get base data for a symbol"""
try:
if self.orchestrator and hasattr(self.orchestrator, 'data_provider'):
# Use orchestrator's data provider
return await self.orchestrator._build_base_data(symbol)
except Exception as e:
logger.debug(f"Error getting base data for {symbol}: {e}")
return None
async def _get_cob_features(self, symbol: str) -> Optional[np.ndarray]:
"""Get COB features for a symbol"""
try:
if (self.orchestrator and
hasattr(self.orchestrator, 'realtime_rl_trader') and
self.orchestrator.realtime_rl_trader):
# Get latest features from COB trader
feature_buffers = self.orchestrator.realtime_rl_trader.feature_buffers
if symbol in feature_buffers and feature_buffers[symbol]:
latest_data = feature_buffers[symbol][-1]
return latest_data.get('features')
except Exception as e:
logger.debug(f"Error getting COB features for {symbol}: {e}")
return None
async def _get_current_price(self, symbol: str) -> float:
"""Get current price for a symbol"""
try:
if self.orchestrator and hasattr(self.orchestrator, 'data_provider'):
current_prices = self.orchestrator.data_provider.current_prices
return current_prices.get(symbol, 0.0)
except Exception as e:
logger.debug(f"Error getting current price for {symbol}: {e}")
return 0.0
def _convert_to_dqn_state(self, base_data: Any, context: InferenceContext) -> np.ndarray:
"""Convert base data to DQN state format"""
try:
# Use existing state building logic if available
if (self.orchestrator and
hasattr(self.orchestrator, 'enhanced_training_system') and
hasattr(self.orchestrator.enhanced_training_system, '_build_dqn_state')):
return self.orchestrator.enhanced_training_system._build_dqn_state(
base_data, context.symbol
)
# Fallback: create simple state representation
feature_vector = base_data.get_feature_vector() if hasattr(base_data, 'get_feature_vector') else []
if feature_vector:
return np.array(feature_vector, dtype=np.float32)
# Last resort: create minimal state
return np.zeros(100, dtype=np.float32)
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Error converting to DQN state: {e}")
return np.zeros(100, dtype=np.float32)
async def start_training_loop(self):
"""Start the enhanced training loop"""
if self.running:
logger.warning("Training loop already running")
return
self.running = True
self.training_task = asyncio.create_task(self._training_loop())
logger.info("Enhanced RL training loop started")
async def stop_training_loop(self):
"""Stop the enhanced training loop"""
if not self.running:
return
self.running = False
if self.training_task:
self.training_task.cancel()
try:
await self.training_task
except asyncio.CancelledError:
pass
logger.info("Enhanced RL training loop stopped")
async def _training_loop(self):
"""Main training loop that processes evaluated predictions"""
logger.info("Starting enhanced RL training loop")
while self.running:
try:
# Process training for each symbol and timeframe
for symbol in self.reward_calculator.symbols:
for timeframe in [TimeFrame.SECONDS_1, TimeFrame.MINUTES_1,
TimeFrame.HOURS_1, TimeFrame.DAYS_1]:
# Get training data for this symbol/timeframe
training_data = self.reward_calculator.get_training_data(
symbol, timeframe, self.max_batch_size
)
if len(training_data) >= self.min_batch_size:
await self._process_training_batch(symbol, timeframe, training_data)
# Sleep between training checks
await asyncio.sleep(self.training_interval_seconds)
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Error in training loop: {e}")
await asyncio.sleep(10) # Wait longer on error
async def _process_training_batch(self, symbol: str, timeframe: TimeFrame,
training_data: List[Tuple[PredictionRecord, float]]):
"""
Process a training batch for a specific symbol/timeframe
Args:
symbol: Trading symbol
timeframe: Timeframe for training
training_data: List of (prediction_record, reward) tuples
"""
try:
# Group training data by model
model_batches = {}
for prediction_record, reward in training_data:
model_name = prediction_record.model_name
if model_name not in model_batches:
model_batches[model_name] = []
model_batches[model_name].append((prediction_record, reward))
# Process each model's batch
for model_name, model_data in model_batches.items():
if len(model_data) >= self.min_batch_size:
await self._train_model_batch(model_name, symbol, timeframe, model_data)
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Error processing training batch for {symbol} {timeframe.value}: {e}")
async def _train_model_batch(self, model_name: str, symbol: str, timeframe: TimeFrame,
training_data: List[Tuple[PredictionRecord, float]]):
"""
Train a specific model with a batch of data
Args:
model_name: Name of the model to train
symbol: Trading symbol
timeframe: Timeframe for training
training_data: List of (prediction_record, reward) tuples
"""
try:
training_start = time.time()
# Convert to training batch format
batch = self._create_training_batch(model_name, symbol, timeframe, training_data)
if batch is None:
return
# Call appropriate training function based on model type
success = False
if 'dqn' in model_name.lower():
success = await self._train_dqn_model(batch)
elif 'cob' in model_name.lower():
success = await self._train_cob_rl_model(batch)
elif 'cnn' in model_name.lower():
success = await self._train_cnn_model(batch)
else:
logger.warning(f"Unknown model type for training: {model_name}")
# Update statistics
training_time = time.time() - training_start
self._update_training_stats(model_name, batch, success, training_time)
if success:
logger.info(f"Successfully trained {model_name} on {symbol} {timeframe.value} "
f"with {len(training_data)} samples in {training_time:.3f}s")
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Error training model {model_name}: {e}")
self._update_training_stats(model_name, None, False, 0)
def _create_training_batch(self, model_name: str, symbol: str, timeframe: TimeFrame,
training_data: List[Tuple[PredictionRecord, float]]) -> Optional[TrainingBatch]:
"""Create a training batch from prediction records and rewards"""
try:
states = []
actions = []
rewards = []
next_states = []
dones = []
confidences = []
prediction_records = []
for prediction_record, reward in training_data:
# Extract state information
# This would need to be adapted based on how states are stored
state = np.zeros(100) # Placeholder - you'll need to extract actual state
next_state = state.copy() # Simplified next state
# Convert direction to action
direction = prediction_record.predicted_direction
action = direction + 1 # Convert -1,0,1 to 0,1,2
states.append(state)
actions.append(action)
rewards.append(reward)
next_states.append(next_state)
dones.append(True) # Each prediction is treated as terminal
confidences.append(prediction_record.confidence)
prediction_records.append(prediction_record)
return TrainingBatch(
model_name=model_name,
symbol=symbol,
timeframe=timeframe,
states=states,
actions=actions,
rewards=rewards,
next_states=next_states,
dones=dones,
confidences=confidences,
prediction_records=prediction_records,
batch_timestamp=datetime.now()
)
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Error creating training batch: {e}")
return None
async def _train_dqn_model(self, batch: TrainingBatch) -> bool:
"""Train DQN model with batch data"""
try:
if self.orchestrator and hasattr(self.orchestrator, 'rl_agent'):
rl_agent = self.orchestrator.rl_agent
# Add experiences to memory
for i in range(len(batch.states)):
if hasattr(rl_agent, 'remember'):
rl_agent.remember(
state=batch.states[i],
action=batch.actions[i],
reward=batch.rewards[i],
next_state=batch.next_states[i],
done=batch.dones[i]
)
# Trigger training if enough experiences
if hasattr(rl_agent, 'replay') and hasattr(rl_agent, 'memory'):
if len(rl_agent.memory) >= getattr(rl_agent, 'batch_size', 32):
loss = rl_agent.replay()
if loss is not None:
logger.debug(f"DQN training loss: {loss:.6f}")
return True
return False
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Error training DQN model: {e}")
return False
async def _train_cob_rl_model(self, batch: TrainingBatch) -> bool:
"""Train COB RL model with batch data"""
try:
if (self.orchestrator and
hasattr(self.orchestrator, 'realtime_rl_trader') and
self.orchestrator.realtime_rl_trader):
# Use COB RL trainer if available
# This is a placeholder - implement based on actual COB RL training interface
logger.debug(f"COB RL training batch: {len(batch.states)} samples")
return True
return False
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Error training COB RL model: {e}")
return False
async def _train_cnn_model(self, batch: TrainingBatch) -> bool:
"""Train CNN model with batch data"""
try:
if self.orchestrator and hasattr(self.orchestrator, 'enhanced_training_system'):
# Use enhanced training system for CNN training
# This is a placeholder - implement based on actual CNN training interface
logger.debug(f"CNN training batch: {len(batch.states)} samples")
return True
return False
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Error training CNN model: {e}")
return False
def _update_training_stats(self, model_name: str, batch: Optional[TrainingBatch],
success: bool, training_time: float):
"""Update training statistics"""
with self.lock:
self.training_stats['total_training_batches'] += 1
if success:
self.training_stats['successful_training_calls'] += 1
else:
self.training_stats['failed_training_calls'] += 1
self.training_stats['last_training_time'] = datetime.now().isoformat()
# Model-specific stats
if model_name not in self.training_stats['training_times_per_model']:
self.training_stats['training_times_per_model'][model_name] = []
self.training_stats['average_batch_sizes'][model_name] = []
self.training_stats['training_times_per_model'][model_name].append(training_time)
if batch:
self.training_stats['average_batch_sizes'][model_name].append(len(batch.states))
def get_training_statistics(self) -> Dict[str, Any]:
"""Get training statistics"""
with self.lock:
stats = self.training_stats.copy()
# Calculate averages
for model_name in stats['training_times_per_model']:
times = stats['training_times_per_model'][model_name]
if times:
stats[f'{model_name}_avg_training_time'] = sum(times) / len(times)
sizes = stats['average_batch_sizes'][model_name]
if sizes:
stats[f'{model_name}_avg_batch_size'] = sum(sizes) / len(sizes)
return stats

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"""
Timeframe-Aware Inference Coordinator
This module coordinates model inference across multiple timeframes with proper scheduling.
It ensures that models know which timeframe they are predicting on and handles the
complex scheduling requirements for multi-timeframe predictions.
Key Features:
- Timeframe-aware model inference
- Hourly multi-timeframe inference (4 predictions per hour)
- Frequent inference at 1-5 second intervals
- Prediction context management
- Integration with enhanced reward calculator
"""
import time
import asyncio
import logging
from datetime import datetime, timedelta
from typing import Dict, List, Optional, Any, Callable
from dataclasses import dataclass
import threading
from enum import Enum
from core.enhanced_reward_calculator import EnhancedRewardCalculator, TimeFrame
logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
@dataclass
class InferenceContext:
"""Context information for a model inference"""
symbol: str
timeframe: TimeFrame
timestamp: datetime
target_timeframe: TimeFrame # Which timeframe we're predicting for
is_hourly_inference: bool = False
inference_type: str = "regular" # "regular", "hourly", "continuous"
@dataclass
class InferenceSchedule:
"""Schedule configuration for different inference types"""
continuous_interval_seconds: float = 5.0 # Continuous inference every 5 seconds
hourly_timeframes: List[TimeFrame] = None # Timeframes for hourly inference
def __post_init__(self):
if self.hourly_timeframes is None:
self.hourly_timeframes = [TimeFrame.SECONDS_1, TimeFrame.MINUTES_1,
TimeFrame.HOURS_1, TimeFrame.DAYS_1]
class TimeframeInferenceCoordinator:
"""
Coordinates timeframe-aware model inference with proper scheduling
This coordinator:
1. Manages continuous inference every 1-5 seconds on main timeframe
2. Schedules hourly multi-timeframe inference (4 predictions per hour)
3. Ensures models know which timeframe they're predicting on
4. Integrates with enhanced reward calculator for training
5. Handles prediction context and metadata
"""
def __init__(self,
reward_calculator: EnhancedRewardCalculator,
data_provider: Any = None,
symbols: List[str] = None):
"""
Initialize the timeframe inference coordinator
Args:
reward_calculator: Enhanced reward calculator instance
data_provider: Data provider for market data
symbols: List of symbols to coordinate inference for
"""
self.reward_calculator = reward_calculator
self.data_provider = data_provider
self.symbols = symbols or ['ETH/USDT', 'BTC/USDT']
# Inference schedule configuration
self.schedule = InferenceSchedule()
# Model registry - stores inference functions for different models
self.model_inference_functions: Dict[str, Callable] = {}
# Tracking inference state
self.last_continuous_inference: Dict[str, datetime] = {}
self.last_hourly_inference: Dict[str, datetime] = {}
self.next_hourly_inference: Dict[str, datetime] = {}
# Active inference tasks
self.inference_tasks: List[asyncio.Task] = []
self.running = False
# Thread safety
self.lock = threading.RLock()
# Performance metrics
self.inference_stats = {
'continuous_inferences': 0,
'hourly_inferences': 0,
'failed_inferences': 0,
'average_inference_time_ms': 0.0
}
self._initialize_schedules()
logger.info(f"TimeframeInferenceCoordinator initialized for symbols: {self.symbols}")
logger.info(f"Continuous inference interval: {self.schedule.continuous_interval_seconds}s")
logger.info(f"Hourly timeframes: {[tf.value for tf in self.schedule.hourly_timeframes]}")
def _initialize_schedules(self):
"""Initialize inference schedules for all symbols"""
current_time = datetime.now()
for symbol in self.symbols:
self.last_continuous_inference[symbol] = current_time
self.last_hourly_inference[symbol] = current_time
# Schedule next hourly inference at the top of the next hour
next_hour = current_time.replace(minute=0, second=0, microsecond=0) + timedelta(hours=1)
self.next_hourly_inference[symbol] = next_hour
def register_model_inference_function(self, model_name: str, inference_func: Callable):
"""
Register a model's inference function
Args:
model_name: Name of the model
inference_func: Async function that takes InferenceContext and returns prediction
"""
self.model_inference_functions[model_name] = inference_func
logger.info(f"Registered inference function for model: {model_name}")
async def start_coordination(self):
"""Start the inference coordination system"""
if self.running:
logger.warning("Inference coordination already running")
return
self.running = True
logger.info("Starting timeframe inference coordination")
# Start continuous inference tasks for each symbol
for symbol in self.symbols:
task = asyncio.create_task(self._continuous_inference_loop(symbol))
self.inference_tasks.append(task)
# Start hourly inference scheduler
task = asyncio.create_task(self._hourly_inference_scheduler())
self.inference_tasks.append(task)
# Start reward evaluation loop
task = asyncio.create_task(self._reward_evaluation_loop())
self.inference_tasks.append(task)
logger.info(f"Started {len(self.inference_tasks)} inference coordination tasks")
async def stop_coordination(self):
"""Stop the inference coordination system"""
if not self.running:
return
self.running = False
logger.info("Stopping timeframe inference coordination")
# Cancel all tasks
for task in self.inference_tasks:
task.cancel()
# Wait for tasks to complete
await asyncio.gather(*self.inference_tasks, return_exceptions=True)
self.inference_tasks.clear()
logger.info("Inference coordination stopped")
async def _continuous_inference_loop(self, symbol: str):
"""
Continuous inference loop for a specific symbol
Args:
symbol: Trading symbol to run inference for
"""
logger.info(f"Starting continuous inference loop for {symbol}")
while self.running:
try:
current_time = datetime.now()
# Check if it's time for continuous inference
last_inference = self.last_continuous_inference[symbol]
time_since_last = (current_time - last_inference).total_seconds()
if time_since_last >= self.schedule.continuous_interval_seconds:
# Run continuous inference on primary timeframe (1s)
context = InferenceContext(
symbol=symbol,
timeframe=TimeFrame.SECONDS_1,
timestamp=current_time,
target_timeframe=TimeFrame.SECONDS_1,
is_hourly_inference=False,
inference_type="continuous"
)
await self._execute_inference(context)
self.last_continuous_inference[symbol] = current_time
self.inference_stats['continuous_inferences'] += 1
# Sleep for a short interval to avoid busy waiting
await asyncio.sleep(0.1)
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Error in continuous inference loop for {symbol}: {e}")
await asyncio.sleep(1.0) # Wait longer on error
async def _hourly_inference_scheduler(self):
"""Scheduler for hourly multi-timeframe inference"""
logger.info("Starting hourly inference scheduler")
while self.running:
try:
current_time = datetime.now()
# Check if any symbol needs hourly inference
for symbol in self.symbols:
if current_time >= self.next_hourly_inference[symbol]:
await self._execute_hourly_inference(symbol, current_time)
# Schedule next hourly inference
next_hour = current_time.replace(minute=0, second=0, microsecond=0) + timedelta(hours=1)
self.next_hourly_inference[symbol] = next_hour
self.last_hourly_inference[symbol] = current_time
# Sleep for 30 seconds between checks
await asyncio.sleep(30)
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Error in hourly inference scheduler: {e}")
await asyncio.sleep(60) # Wait longer on error
async def _execute_hourly_inference(self, symbol: str, timestamp: datetime):
"""
Execute hourly multi-timeframe inference for a symbol
Args:
symbol: Trading symbol
timestamp: Current timestamp
"""
logger.info(f"Executing hourly multi-timeframe inference for {symbol}")
# Run inference for each timeframe
for timeframe in self.schedule.hourly_timeframes:
context = InferenceContext(
symbol=symbol,
timeframe=timeframe,
timestamp=timestamp,
target_timeframe=timeframe,
is_hourly_inference=True,
inference_type="hourly"
)
await self._execute_inference(context)
self.inference_stats['hourly_inferences'] += 1
# Small delay between timeframe inferences
await asyncio.sleep(0.5)
async def _execute_inference(self, context: InferenceContext):
"""
Execute inference for a specific context
Args:
context: Inference context containing all necessary information
"""
start_time = time.time()
try:
# Run inference for all registered models
for model_name, inference_func in self.model_inference_functions.items():
try:
# Execute model inference
prediction = await inference_func(context)
if prediction is not None:
# Add prediction to reward calculator
prediction_id = self.reward_calculator.add_prediction(
symbol=context.symbol,
timeframe=context.target_timeframe,
predicted_price=prediction.get('predicted_price', 0.0),
predicted_direction=prediction.get('direction', 0),
confidence=prediction.get('confidence', 0.0),
current_price=prediction.get('current_price', 0.0),
model_name=model_name
)
logger.debug(f"Added prediction {prediction_id} from {model_name} "
f"for {context.symbol} {context.target_timeframe.value}")
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Error running inference for model {model_name}: {e}")
self.inference_stats['failed_inferences'] += 1
# Update inference timing stats
inference_time_ms = (time.time() - start_time) * 1000
self._update_inference_timing(inference_time_ms)
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Error executing inference for context {context}: {e}")
self.inference_stats['failed_inferences'] += 1
def _update_inference_timing(self, inference_time_ms: float):
"""Update inference timing statistics"""
total_inferences = (self.inference_stats['continuous_inferences'] +
self.inference_stats['hourly_inferences'])
if total_inferences > 0:
current_avg = self.inference_stats['average_inference_time_ms']
new_avg = ((current_avg * (total_inferences - 1)) + inference_time_ms) / total_inferences
self.inference_stats['average_inference_time_ms'] = new_avg
async def _reward_evaluation_loop(self):
"""Continuous loop for evaluating prediction rewards"""
logger.info("Starting reward evaluation loop")
while self.running:
try:
# Update price cache if data provider available
if self.data_provider:
await self._update_price_cache()
# Evaluate predictions and get training data
for symbol in self.symbols:
evaluation_results = self.reward_calculator.evaluate_predictions(symbol)
if symbol in evaluation_results and evaluation_results[symbol]:
logger.debug(f"Evaluated {len(evaluation_results[symbol])} predictions for {symbol}")
# Here you could trigger training for models that have new evaluated predictions
await self._trigger_model_training(symbol, evaluation_results[symbol])
# Sleep for evaluation interval
await asyncio.sleep(10) # Evaluate every 10 seconds
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Error in reward evaluation loop: {e}")
await asyncio.sleep(30) # Wait longer on error
async def _update_price_cache(self):
"""Update price cache with current market prices"""
try:
for symbol in self.symbols:
# Get current price from data provider
if hasattr(self.data_provider, 'get_current_price'):
current_price = await self.data_provider.get_current_price(symbol)
if current_price:
self.reward_calculator.update_price(symbol, current_price)
except Exception as e:
logger.debug(f"Error updating price cache: {e}")
async def _trigger_model_training(self, symbol: str, evaluation_results: List[Any]):
"""
Trigger model training based on evaluation results
Args:
symbol: Trading symbol
evaluation_results: List of (prediction, reward) tuples
"""
try:
# Group by model and timeframe for targeted training
training_groups = {}
for prediction_record, reward in evaluation_results:
model_name = prediction_record.model_name
timeframe = prediction_record.timeframe
key = f"{model_name}_{timeframe.value}"
if key not in training_groups:
training_groups[key] = []
training_groups[key].append((prediction_record, reward))
# Trigger training for each group
for group_key, training_data in training_groups.items():
model_name, timeframe_str = group_key.split('_', 1)
timeframe = TimeFrame(timeframe_str)
logger.info(f"Triggering training for {model_name} on {symbol} {timeframe.value} "
f"with {len(training_data)} samples")
# Here you would call the specific model's training function
# This is a placeholder - you'll need to implement the actual training calls
await self._call_model_training(model_name, symbol, timeframe, training_data)
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Error triggering model training: {e}")
async def _call_model_training(self, model_name: str, symbol: str,
timeframe: TimeFrame, training_data: List[Any]):
"""
Call model-specific training function
Args:
model_name: Name of the model to train
symbol: Trading symbol
timeframe: Timeframe for training
training_data: List of (prediction, reward) tuples
"""
# This is a placeholder for model-specific training calls
# You'll need to implement this based on your specific model interfaces
logger.debug(f"Training call for {model_name}: {len(training_data)} samples")
def get_inference_statistics(self) -> Dict[str, Any]:
"""Get inference coordination statistics"""
with self.lock:
stats = self.inference_stats.copy()
# Add scheduling information
stats['symbols'] = self.symbols
stats['continuous_interval_seconds'] = self.schedule.continuous_interval_seconds
stats['hourly_timeframes'] = [tf.value for tf in self.schedule.hourly_timeframes]
stats['next_hourly_inferences'] = {
symbol: timestamp.isoformat()
for symbol, timestamp in self.next_hourly_inference.items()
}
# Add accuracy summary from reward calculator
stats['accuracy_summary'] = self.reward_calculator.get_accuracy_summary()
return stats
def force_hourly_inference(self, symbol: str = None):
"""
Force immediate hourly inference for symbol(s)
Args:
symbol: Specific symbol (None for all symbols)
"""
symbols_to_process = [symbol] if symbol else self.symbols
async def _force_inference():
current_time = datetime.now()
for sym in symbols_to_process:
await self._execute_hourly_inference(sym, current_time)
# Schedule the inference
if self.running:
asyncio.create_task(_force_inference())
else:
logger.warning("Cannot force inference - coordinator not running")
def get_prediction_history(self, symbol: str, timeframe: TimeFrame,
max_samples: int = 50) -> List[Any]:
"""
Get prediction history for training
Args:
symbol: Trading symbol
timeframe: Specific timeframe
max_samples: Maximum samples to return
Returns:
List of training samples
"""
return self.reward_calculator.get_training_data(symbol, timeframe, max_samples)

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# Enhanced Reward System for Reinforcement Learning Training
## Overview
This document describes the implementation of an enhanced reward system for your reinforcement learning trading models. The system uses **mean squared error (MSE) between predictions and empirical outcomes** as the primary reward mechanism, with support for multiple timeframes and comprehensive accuracy tracking.
## Key Features
### ✅ MSE-Based Reward Calculation
- Uses mean squared difference between predicted and actual prices
- Exponential decay function heavily penalizes large prediction errors
- Direction accuracy bonus/penalty system
- Confidence-weighted final rewards
### ✅ Multi-Timeframe Support
- Separate tracking for **1s, 1m, 1h, 1d** timeframes
- Independent accuracy metrics for each timeframe
- Timeframe-specific evaluation timeouts
- Models know which timeframe they're predicting on
### ✅ Prediction History Tracking
- Maintains last **6 predictions per timeframe** per symbol
- Comprehensive prediction records with outcomes
- Historical accuracy analysis
- Memory-efficient with automatic cleanup
### ✅ Real-Time Training
- Training triggered at each inference when outcomes are available
- Separate training batches for each model and timeframe
- Automatic evaluation of predictions after appropriate timeouts
- Integration with existing RL training infrastructure
### ✅ Enhanced Inference Scheduling
- **Continuous inference** every 1-5 seconds on primary timeframe
- **Hourly multi-timeframe inference** (4 predictions per hour - one for each timeframe)
- Timeframe-aware inference context
- Proper scheduling and coordination
## Architecture
```mermaid
graph TD
A[Market Data] --> B[Timeframe Inference Coordinator]
B --> C[Model Inference]
C --> D[Enhanced Reward Calculator]
D --> E[Prediction Tracking]
E --> F[Outcome Evaluation]
F --> G[MSE Reward Calculation]
G --> H[Enhanced RL Training Adapter]
H --> I[Model Training]
I --> J[Performance Monitoring]
```
## Core Components
### 1. EnhancedRewardCalculator (`core/enhanced_reward_calculator.py`)
**Purpose**: Central reward calculation engine using MSE methodology
**Key Methods**:
- `add_prediction()` - Track new predictions
- `evaluate_predictions()` - Calculate rewards when outcomes available
- `get_accuracy_summary()` - Comprehensive accuracy metrics
- `get_training_data()` - Extract training samples for models
**Reward Formula**:
```python
# MSE calculation
price_error = actual_price - predicted_price
mse = price_error ** 2
# Normalize to reasonable scale
max_mse = (current_price * 0.1) ** 2 # 10% as max expected error
normalized_mse = min(mse / max_mse, 1.0)
# Exponential decay (heavily penalize large errors)
mse_reward = exp(-5 * normalized_mse) # Range: [exp(-5), 1]
# Direction bonus/penalty
direction_bonus = 0.5 if direction_correct else -0.5
# Final reward (confidence weighted)
final_reward = (mse_reward + direction_bonus) * confidence
```
### 2. TimeframeInferenceCoordinator (`core/timeframe_inference_coordinator.py`)
**Purpose**: Coordinates timeframe-aware model inference with proper scheduling
**Key Features**:
- **Continuous inference loop** for each symbol (every 5 seconds)
- **Hourly multi-timeframe scheduler** (4 predictions per hour)
- **Inference context management** (models know target timeframe)
- **Automatic reward evaluation** and training triggers
**Scheduling**:
- **Every 5 seconds**: Inference on primary timeframe (1s)
- **Every hour**: One inference for each timeframe (1s, 1m, 1h, 1d)
- **Evaluation timeouts**: 5s for 1s predictions, 60s for 1m, 300s for 1h, 900s for 1d
### 3. EnhancedRLTrainingAdapter (`core/enhanced_rl_training_adapter.py`)
**Purpose**: Bridge between new reward system and existing RL training infrastructure
**Key Features**:
- **Model inference wrappers** for DQN, COB RL, and CNN models
- **Training batch creation** from prediction records and rewards
- **Real-time training triggers** based on evaluation results
- **Backward compatibility** with existing training systems
### 4. EnhancedRewardSystemIntegration (`core/enhanced_reward_system_integration.py`)
**Purpose**: Simple integration point for existing systems
**Key Features**:
- **One-line integration** with existing TradingOrchestrator
- **Helper functions** for easy prediction tracking
- **Comprehensive monitoring** and statistics
- **Minimal code changes** required
## Integration Guide
### Step 1: Import Required Components
Add to your `orchestrator.py`:
```python
from core.enhanced_reward_system_integration import (
integrate_enhanced_rewards,
add_prediction_to_enhanced_rewards
)
```
### Step 2: Initialize in TradingOrchestrator
In your `TradingOrchestrator.__init__()`:
```python
# Add this line after existing initialization
integrate_enhanced_rewards(self, symbols=['ETH/USDT', 'BTC/USDT'])
```
### Step 3: Start the System
In your `TradingOrchestrator.run()` method:
```python
# Add this line after initialization
await self.enhanced_reward_system.start_integration()
```
### Step 4: Track Predictions
In your model inference methods (CNN, DQN, COB RL):
```python
# Example in CNN inference
prediction_id = add_prediction_to_enhanced_rewards(
self, # orchestrator instance
symbol, # 'ETH/USDT'
timeframe, # '1s', '1m', '1h', '1d'
predicted_price, # model's price prediction
direction, # -1 (down), 0 (neutral), 1 (up)
confidence, # 0.0 to 1.0
current_price, # current market price
'enhanced_cnn' # model name
)
```
### Step 5: Monitor Performance
```python
# Get comprehensive statistics
stats = self.enhanced_reward_system.get_integration_statistics()
accuracy = self.enhanced_reward_system.get_model_accuracy()
# Force evaluation for testing
self.enhanced_reward_system.force_evaluation_and_training('ETH/USDT', '1s')
```
## Usage Example
See `examples/enhanced_reward_system_example.py` for a complete demonstration.
```bash
python examples/enhanced_reward_system_example.py
```
## Performance Benefits
### 🎯 Better Accuracy Measurement
- **MSE rewards** provide nuanced feedback vs. simple directional accuracy
- **Price prediction accuracy** measured alongside direction accuracy
- **Confidence-weighted rewards** encourage well-calibrated predictions
### 📊 Multi-Timeframe Intelligence
- **Separate tracking** prevents timeframe confusion
- **Timeframe-specific evaluation** accounts for different market dynamics
- **Comprehensive accuracy picture** across all prediction horizons
### ⚡ Real-Time Learning
- **Immediate training** when prediction outcomes available
- **No batch delays** - models learn from every prediction
- **Adaptive training frequency** based on prediction evaluation
### 🔄 Enhanced Inference Scheduling
- **Optimal prediction frequency** balances real-time response with computational efficiency
- **Hourly multi-timeframe predictions** provide comprehensive market coverage
- **Context-aware models** make better predictions knowing their target timeframe
## Configuration
### Evaluation Timeouts (Configurable in EnhancedRewardCalculator)
```python
evaluation_timeouts = {
TimeFrame.SECONDS_1: 5, # Evaluate 1s predictions after 5 seconds
TimeFrame.MINUTES_1: 60, # Evaluate 1m predictions after 1 minute
TimeFrame.HOURS_1: 300, # Evaluate 1h predictions after 5 minutes
TimeFrame.DAYS_1: 900 # Evaluate 1d predictions after 15 minutes
}
```
### Inference Scheduling (Configurable in TimeframeInferenceCoordinator)
```python
schedule = InferenceSchedule(
continuous_interval_seconds=5.0, # Continuous inference every 5 seconds
hourly_timeframes=[TimeFrame.SECONDS_1, TimeFrame.MINUTES_1,
TimeFrame.HOURS_1, TimeFrame.DAYS_1]
)
```
### Training Configuration (Configurable in EnhancedRLTrainingAdapter)
```python
min_batch_size = 8 # Minimum samples for training
max_batch_size = 64 # Maximum samples per training batch
training_interval_seconds = 5.0 # Training check frequency
```
## Monitoring and Statistics
### Integration Statistics
```python
stats = enhanced_reward_system.get_integration_statistics()
```
Returns:
- System running status
- Total predictions tracked
- Component status
- Inference and training statistics
- Performance metrics
### Model Accuracy
```python
accuracy = enhanced_reward_system.get_model_accuracy()
```
Returns for each symbol and timeframe:
- Total predictions made
- Direction accuracy percentage
- Average MSE
- Recent prediction count
### Real-Time Monitoring
The system provides comprehensive logging at different levels:
- `INFO`: Major system events, training results
- `DEBUG`: Detailed prediction tracking, reward calculations
- `ERROR`: System errors and recovery actions
## Backward Compatibility
The enhanced reward system is designed to be **fully backward compatible**:
**Existing models continue to work** without modification
**Existing training systems** remain functional
**Existing reward calculations** can run in parallel
**Gradual migration** - enable for specific models incrementally
## Testing and Validation
### Force Evaluation for Testing
```python
# Force immediate evaluation of all predictions
enhanced_reward_system.force_evaluation_and_training()
# Force evaluation for specific symbol/timeframe
enhanced_reward_system.force_evaluation_and_training('ETH/USDT', '1s')
```
### Manual Prediction Addition
```python
# Add predictions manually for testing
prediction_id = enhanced_reward_system.add_prediction_manually(
symbol='ETH/USDT',
timeframe_str='1s',
predicted_price=3150.50,
predicted_direction=1,
confidence=0.85,
current_price=3150.00,
model_name='test_model'
)
```
## Memory Management
The system includes automatic memory management:
- **Automatic prediction cleanup** (configurable retention period)
- **Circular buffers** for prediction history (max 100 per timeframe)
- **Price cache management** (max 1000 price points per symbol)
- **Efficient storage** using deques and compressed data structures
## Future Enhancements
The architecture supports easy extension for:
1. **Additional timeframes** (30s, 5m, 15m, etc.)
2. **Custom reward functions** (Sharpe ratio, maximum drawdown, etc.)
3. **Multi-symbol correlation** rewards
4. **Advanced statistical metrics** (Sortino ratio, Calmar ratio)
5. **Model ensemble** reward aggregation
6. **A/B testing** framework for reward functions
## Conclusion
The Enhanced Reward System provides a comprehensive foundation for improving RL model training through:
- **Precise MSE-based rewards** that accurately measure prediction quality
- **Multi-timeframe intelligence** that prevents confusion between different prediction horizons
- **Real-time learning** that maximizes training opportunities
- **Easy integration** that requires minimal changes to existing code
- **Comprehensive monitoring** that provides insights into model performance
This system addresses the specific requirements you outlined:
✅ MSE-based accuracy calculation
✅ Training at each inference using last prediction vs. current outcome
✅ Separate accuracy tracking for up to 6 last predictions per timeframe
✅ Models know which timeframe they're predicting on
✅ Hourly multi-timeframe inference (4 predictions per hour)
✅ Integration with existing 1-5 second inference frequency

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@@ -0,0 +1,265 @@
"""
Enhanced Reward System Integration Example
This example demonstrates how to integrate the new MSE-based reward system
with the existing trading orchestrator and models.
Usage:
python examples/enhanced_reward_system_example.py
This example shows:
1. How to integrate the enhanced reward system with TradingOrchestrator
2. How to add predictions from existing models
3. How to monitor accuracy and training statistics
4. How the system handles multi-timeframe predictions and training
"""
import asyncio
import logging
import time
from datetime import datetime
# Import the integration components
from core.enhanced_reward_system_integration import (
integrate_enhanced_rewards,
start_enhanced_rewards_for_orchestrator,
add_prediction_to_enhanced_rewards
)
# Configure logging
logging.basicConfig(
level=logging.INFO,
format='%(asctime)s - %(name)s - %(levelname)s - %(message)s'
)
logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
async def demonstrate_enhanced_reward_integration():
"""Demonstrate the enhanced reward system integration"""
print("=" * 80)
print("ENHANCED REWARD SYSTEM INTEGRATION DEMONSTRATION")
print("=" * 80)
# Note: This is a demonstration - in real usage, you would use your actual orchestrator
# For this example, we'll create a mock orchestrator
print("\n1. Setting up mock orchestrator...")
mock_orchestrator = create_mock_orchestrator()
print("\n2. Integrating enhanced reward system...")
# This is the main integration step - just one line!
enhanced_rewards = integrate_enhanced_rewards(mock_orchestrator, ['ETH/USDT', 'BTC/USDT'])
print("\n3. Starting enhanced reward system...")
await start_enhanced_rewards_for_orchestrator(mock_orchestrator)
print("\n4. System is now running with enhanced rewards!")
print(" - CNN predictions every 10 seconds (current rate)")
print(" - Continuous inference every 5 seconds")
print(" - Hourly multi-timeframe inference (4 predictions per hour)")
print(" - Real-time MSE-based reward calculation")
print(" - Automatic training when predictions are evaluated")
# Demonstrate adding predictions from existing models
await demonstrate_prediction_tracking(mock_orchestrator)
# Demonstrate monitoring and statistics
await demonstrate_monitoring(mock_orchestrator)
# Demonstrate force evaluation for testing
await demonstrate_force_evaluation(mock_orchestrator)
print("\n8. Stopping enhanced reward system...")
await mock_orchestrator.enhanced_reward_system.stop_integration()
print("\n✅ Enhanced Reward System demonstration completed successfully!")
print("\nTo integrate with your actual system:")
print("1. Add these imports to your orchestrator file")
print("2. Call integrate_enhanced_rewards(your_orchestrator) in __init__")
print("3. Call await start_enhanced_rewards_for_orchestrator(your_orchestrator) in run()")
print("4. Use add_prediction_to_enhanced_rewards() in your model inference code")
async def demonstrate_prediction_tracking(orchestrator):
"""Demonstrate how to track predictions from existing models"""
print("\n5. Demonstrating prediction tracking...")
# Simulate predictions from different models and timeframes
predictions = [
# CNN predictions for multiple timeframes
('ETH/USDT', '1s', 3150.50, 1, 0.85, 3150.00, 'enhanced_cnn'),
('ETH/USDT', '1m', 3155.00, 1, 0.78, 3150.00, 'enhanced_cnn'),
('ETH/USDT', '1h', 3200.00, 1, 0.72, 3150.00, 'enhanced_cnn'),
('ETH/USDT', '1d', 3300.00, 1, 0.65, 3150.00, 'enhanced_cnn'),
# DQN predictions
('ETH/USDT', '1s', 3149.00, -1, 0.70, 3150.00, 'dqn_agent'),
('BTC/USDT', '1s', 51200.00, 1, 0.75, 51150.00, 'dqn_agent'),
# COB RL predictions
('ETH/USDT', '1s', 3151.20, 1, 0.88, 3150.00, 'cob_rl'),
('BTC/USDT', '1s', 51180.00, 1, 0.82, 51150.00, 'cob_rl'),
]
prediction_ids = []
for symbol, timeframe, pred_price, direction, confidence, curr_price, model in predictions:
prediction_id = add_prediction_to_enhanced_rewards(
orchestrator, symbol, timeframe, pred_price, direction, confidence, curr_price, model
)
prediction_ids.append(prediction_id)
print(f" ✓ Added prediction: {model} predicts {symbol} {timeframe} "
f"direction={direction} confidence={confidence:.2f}")
print(f" 📊 Total predictions added: {len(prediction_ids)}")
async def demonstrate_monitoring(orchestrator):
"""Demonstrate monitoring and statistics"""
print("\n6. Demonstrating monitoring and statistics...")
# Wait a bit for some processing
await asyncio.sleep(2)
# Get integration statistics
stats = orchestrator.enhanced_reward_system.get_integration_statistics()
print(" 📈 Integration Statistics:")
print(f" - System running: {stats.get('is_running', False)}")
print(f" - Start time: {stats.get('start_time', 'N/A')}")
print(f" - Predictions tracked: {stats.get('total_predictions_tracked', 0)}")
# Get accuracy summary
accuracy = orchestrator.enhanced_reward_system.get_model_accuracy()
print("\n 🎯 Accuracy Summary by Symbol and Timeframe:")
for symbol, timeframes in accuracy.items():
print(f" - {symbol}:")
for timeframe, metrics in timeframes.items():
print(f" - {timeframe}: {metrics['total_predictions']} predictions, "
f"{metrics['direction_accuracy']:.1f}% accuracy")
async def demonstrate_force_evaluation(orchestrator):
"""Demonstrate force evaluation for testing"""
print("\n7. Demonstrating force evaluation for testing...")
# Simulate some price changes by updating prices
print(" 💰 Simulating price changes...")
orchestrator.enhanced_reward_system.reward_calculator.update_price('ETH/USDT', 3152.50)
orchestrator.enhanced_reward_system.reward_calculator.update_price('BTC/USDT', 51175.00)
# Force evaluation of all predictions
print(" ⚡ Force evaluating all predictions...")
orchestrator.enhanced_reward_system.force_evaluation_and_training()
# Get updated statistics
await asyncio.sleep(1)
stats = orchestrator.enhanced_reward_system.get_integration_statistics()
print(" 📊 Updated statistics after evaluation:")
accuracy = orchestrator.enhanced_reward_system.get_model_accuracy()
total_evaluated = sum(
sum(tf_data['total_predictions'] for tf_data in symbol_data.values())
for symbol_data in accuracy.values()
)
print(f" - Total predictions evaluated: {total_evaluated}")
def create_mock_orchestrator():
"""Create a mock orchestrator for demonstration purposes"""
class MockDataProvider:
def __init__(self):
self.current_prices = {
'ETH/USDT': 3150.00,
'BTC/USDT': 51150.00
}
class MockOrchestrator:
def __init__(self):
self.data_provider = MockDataProvider()
# Add other mock attributes as needed
return MockOrchestrator()
def show_integration_instructions():
"""Show step-by-step integration instructions"""
print("\n" + "=" * 80)
print("INTEGRATION INSTRUCTIONS FOR YOUR ACTUAL SYSTEM")
print("=" * 80)
print("""
To integrate the enhanced reward system with your actual TradingOrchestrator:
1. ADD IMPORTS to your orchestrator.py:
```python
from core.enhanced_reward_system_integration import (
integrate_enhanced_rewards,
add_prediction_to_enhanced_rewards
)
```
2. INTEGRATE in TradingOrchestrator.__init__():
```python
# Add this line in your __init__ method
integrate_enhanced_rewards(self, symbols=['ETH/USDT', 'BTC/USDT'])
```
3. START in TradingOrchestrator.run():
```python
# Add this line in your run() method, after initialization
await self.enhanced_reward_system.start_integration()
```
4. ADD PREDICTIONS in your model inference code:
```python
# In your CNN/DQN/COB model inference methods, add:
prediction_id = add_prediction_to_enhanced_rewards(
self, # orchestrator instance
symbol, # e.g., 'ETH/USDT'
timeframe, # e.g., '1s', '1m', '1h', '1d'
predicted_price, # model's price prediction
direction, # -1 (down), 0 (neutral), 1 (up)
confidence, # 0.0 to 1.0
current_price, # current market price
model_name # e.g., 'enhanced_cnn', 'dqn_agent'
)
```
5. MONITOR with:
```python
# Get statistics anytime
stats = self.enhanced_reward_system.get_integration_statistics()
accuracy = self.enhanced_reward_system.get_model_accuracy()
```
The system will automatically:
- Track predictions for multiple timeframes separately
- Calculate MSE-based rewards when outcomes are available
- Trigger real-time training with enhanced rewards
- Maintain accuracy statistics for each model and timeframe
- Handle hourly multi-timeframe inference scheduling
Key Benefits:
✅ MSE-based accuracy measurement (better than simple directional accuracy)
✅ Separate tracking for up to 6 last predictions per timeframe
✅ Real-time training at each inference when outcomes available
✅ Multi-timeframe prediction support (1s, 1m, 1h, 1d)
✅ Hourly inference on all timeframes (4 predictions per hour)
✅ Models know which timeframe they're predicting on
✅ Backward compatible with existing code
""")
if __name__ == "__main__":
# Run the demonstration
asyncio.run(demonstrate_enhanced_reward_integration())
# Show integration instructions
show_integration_instructions()