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crypto/brian/design.md
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crypto/brian/design.md
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The proposed architecture effectively addresses synchronizing multiple timeframes and indicators using channel-specific processing and transformer-based attention. Here's how to enhance it further and key considerations:
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Key Enhancements & Considerations:
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Timeframe Embeddings:
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Why: Helps the model distinguish between different resolutions (1m vs 1h).
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How: Add an embedding layer that encodes timeframe IDs (e.g., 0 for 1m, 1 for 5m). Inject this into each channel's processed features.
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self.timeframe_embed = nn.Embedding(num_timeframes, hidden_dim)
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# In forward:
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timeframe_ids = torch.arange(num_timeframes).to(device) # During init or passed as input
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embeddings = self.timeframe_embed(timeframe_ids).unsqueeze(0) # (1, num_timeframes, hidden_dim)
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channels_concat = channels_concat + embeddings # Add to branch outputs
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Positional Encodings in Transformer:
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Why: Inform the model about the order/hierarchy of timeframes.
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How: Apply sinusoidal positional encodings to transformer_input before passing to the encoder.
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Dynamic Aggregation:
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Why: Mean aggregation may dilute important signals.
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How: Use attention pooling to weight channels dynamically:
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# After transformer_output of shape (num_timeframes, batch_size, hidden_dim)
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attn_weights = torch.softmax(self.attn_pool(transformer_output), dim=0) # Learnable linear layer
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aggregated_channels = (transformer_output * attn_weights).sum(dim=0)
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Multi-Step Prediction:
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Why: Predicting multiple future candles requires temporal coherence.
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How: Replace the final fc layer with an LSTM or transformer decoder to output sequences.
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Meta Feature Interaction:
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Why: Allow meta features to modulate channel processing.
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How: Use cross-attention between meta features and channel data:
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# Compute cross-attention where meta_out attends to aggregated_channels
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cross_attn = nn.MultiheadAttention(hidden_dim, n_heads)
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attn_output, _ = cross_attn(meta_out.unsqueeze(0), aggregated_channels.unsqueeze(0), aggregated_channels.unsqueeze(0))
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combined = torch.cat([attn_output.squeeze(0), meta_out], dim=1)
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Data Alignment Strategy:
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Preprocessing: Resample higher timeframes to match the lowest resolution's timestamps (e.g., 1m), forward-filling 5m/1h data. This ensures all channels have values at every 1m timestamp.
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Example: For a 1h channel, each 1m timestamp in the same hour window shares the same 1h candle values until the next hour.
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Loss Function:
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Enhancement: Incorporate a custom loss that penalizes prediction errors in peaks/valleys more heavily:
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def peak_valley_loss(pred_highs, true_highs, pred_lows, true_lows):
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high_error = torch.abs(pred_highs - true_highs) * 2 # Emphasize peaks
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low_error = torch.abs(pred_lows - true_lows) * 2 # Emphasize valleys
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return (high_error + low_error).mean()
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Implementation Adjustments:
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Transformer Layers: Increase depth (num_layers=2) for richer interactions.
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Regularization: Add dropout in channel branches and meta encoder to prevent overfitting.
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Input Normalization: Apply instance normalization per channel to handle varying indicator scales.
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RL Integration (Future Step):
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Use the model's predictions as part of the state representation in an RL agent (e.g., PPO or DQN).
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Design a reward function based on trading profitability (e.g., Sharpe ratio, portfolio returns).
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Include transaction costs and slippage in the RL environment for realistic backtesting.
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@ -35,3 +35,8 @@ we're trying to create a 8b neural network (ai) that will consume live and histo
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we're stuck, and the code needs fixing
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we're stuck, and the code needs fixing
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The Nn should have one task - to predict next low/high on the short term charts ( 1m, 5m or other - configurable) based on the all past info in parallel from all the different timeframes candles and all the passed indicators candles. It should also have a dedicated NN module todiscover and pay attention to spefic parts in the charts - building and training it's own indicator in a sense. We later use the predicted high/low 5m/1h in the future to buy now and sell later or to short now and close later in the bot. We will have a threshhold of certainty to act, and also do it only if multiple timeframes predictions align. So we may use a transformer module to predict future candles and train that with RL while the candles are rolling until the NN can predict with small loss.
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The Nn should have one task - to predict next low/high on the short term charts ( 1m, 5m or other - configurable) based on the all past info in parallel from all the different timeframes candles and all the passed indicators candles. It should also have a dedicated NN module todiscover and pay attention to spefic parts in the charts - building and training it's own indicator in a sense. We later use the predicted high/low 5m/1h in the future to buy now and sell later or to short now and close later in the bot. We will have a threshhold of certainty to act, and also do it only if multiple timeframes predictions align. So we may use a transformer module to predict future candles and train that with RL while the candles are rolling until the NN can predict with small loss.
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existing (running but unfinished ) code:
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existing (running but unfinished ) code:
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--------
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implement these suggestions into our code and add arguments for easy switching of modes:
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- train (only): pool latest data and use it for backtesting with RL to learn to detect peaks/valleys
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- live: load best checkpoint and latest HLOCv data to actively generate trade signals, but calculate and back propagate errors when closing positions. optimize for profit in the reward function
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- inference: optimize model loading for inference only - load historical data and periodically append new live data and generate siganls but without active RL
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